Friday, May 6, 2022

Seahawks called over ‘amazing’ contract for ‘part-time player’

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The Seattle Seahawks made perhaps one of the worst decisions of the offseason.

According to Bleacher Report’s Kristopher Knox, the Seahawks made a “stunning” move by re-signing Will Dissly to a three-year deal worth $24 million. Dissly, 25, never caught more than 24 passes or 262 receiving yards in a single season during his four-year career.

“It was a confusing move because Fant — who’s rushed for 600+ yards each of the last two seasons — was going to be the first tight end to step in,” Knox said. “It’s also bad stat because Dissly hasn’t established himself as a notable part of offense.

He has never reached 30 receptions or 300 reception yards in one season. He showed lightning in his first two years, but ended with knee and Achilles tendon injuries. In the last two seasons, Dissly has only played a minor role.”

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The former fourth-round draft pick has started 36 of his 41 appearances in a Seahawks uniform and is yet to make a big dent in the reception game. Knox argues that Seattle overpaid for a “part-time” player with their new deal for Dissly.

“This isn’t a punch for Dissly, which is solid,” says Knox. “However, the Seahawks made a mistake by overpaying a part-time player they likely could have replaced in the 2022 draft.”

It’s hard to argue Knox’s point. Noah Fant – who was traded for Russell Wilson by the Denver Broncos – should step in immediately as the first option on the tight end. Fant stood out as a receiving option early in his career.

According to Pro Football Focus, Fant’s 69.5 ranked him 16th last season among all tight ends with at least 50 goals. In comparison, Dissly earned a 58.2 receiving grade, which was actually the lowest of his career.

Perhaps most concerning is the fact that despite a plethora of seasons, Dissly never established himself as the Seahawks’ first pick in the tight end. Additionally, he’s played alongside less-than-stellar tight ends in Jacob Hollister and Gerald Everett over the years and hasn’t surpassed them in a single season with the Seahawks.

While it’s clear that the Seahawks intend to use Dissly in two-tight end sets with Fant, paying $8 million a season for a “part-time” player is beyond outrageous. Dissly’s new contract will actually make him the sixth-highest-paid tight end in the league for the 2022 season.

Dissly’s new deal is definitely one of the worst moves of the 2022 NFL offseason.

According to another observer, Dissly’s contract is actually of reasonable value.

As noted by SB Nation’s John P. Gilbert, the OTC player rating tool provided by Pro Football Focus puts Dissly’s value at just under $24 million over three seasons.

The OTC calculations for Dissly are as follows: $7,170,578 for the 2022 season, $7,749,184 for the 2023 season and $8,816,849 for the 2024 season.

Over the Cap explains how OTC Player Rating determines a player’s contract value.

“OTC’s player ratings are calculated using proprietary formulas to more accurately reflect the value a player offers for their position based on their field performance versus the current market. The calculations use a range of statistics and performance evaluations provided by Pro Football Focus. Positional ratings use a number of factors including snap counts, PFF ratings and stats to determine the player’s primary rating.”

Despite Dissly’s lack of production, the assumption that he will replace Everett’s snap tally — Everett played 650 snaps versus Dissly’s 512 snaps in 2021 — combined with the salary cap increase, ultimately gives Dissly a value of about $24 million over three seasons U.S. dollar.

The move might not make sense at first glance, but this advanced analytics tool appears to be doing just that.

Over the Cap explains how OTC Player Rating determines a player’s contract value.

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