Tuesday, October 26, 2021

New York Knicks planned as a fringe playoff team despite upgrades

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The New York Knicks shocked everyone last season by securing home advantage in the first round of the NBA playoffs.

Though quickly dispatched by the Atlanta Hawks, the season was largely viewed as a success. To make matters even better, many would agree that the Knicks made many upgrades in the off-season and are in a much better position than they were last year.

That makes the GM poll, and now the FiveThirtyEight predictions for the season, all the more puzzling.

How can the Knicks make major upgrades across the board and likely to complete lower than last year? It’s a complicated process, but let’s take a look at what these latest predictions say.

The only silver lining for Knicks fans is that they still make it to the playoffs, albeit as the 8th seed.

FiveThirtyEight’s model is that the Knicks win 43 games against 39 losses, and it gives them a 63 percent chance of making the playoffs.

The ninth seed are the Raptors with a 41-41 record, so the Knicks just got into the playoffs. On paper it looks like the Knicks are way better than the Raptors, so it seems curious to see them in front of you.

Interestingly, the Knicks have a two percent chance of reaching the finals, so there actually is a chance, but it’s a very, very small one.

Perhaps unsurprisingly, the Bucks are favored in the east, especially with news that the Nets may be without Irving for the entire season. Before the Knicks are the Bucks, 76ers, Hawks, Nets, Celtics, Heat, and Pacers in that order.

Remember that just because the Knicks are expected to be low, it doesn’t mean they will. Chances are they will outperform their projection or otherwise underperform.

There are many factors at play and that is a big part of the reasons why the games need to be played and not just being able to look at a roster.

Health will be a big factor in many of the Knicks’ key positions. Both Nerlens Noel and Mitchell Robinson are struggling with injuries, which means 36-year-old Taj Gibson has been playing a lot in the preseason, which definitely wouldn’t be the case if the two were ready.

In the point guard position, both Kemba Walker and Derrick Rose have injury histories, so the Knicks are also hoping they can stay healthy. Health is something every NBA team deals with, but you don’t want to have a problem with it in the new NBA season.

The two big men are expected to be ready by the start of the season so you don’t have to worry right now. The injury bug bites randomly, however, so the Knicks hope to stay away from it in the future.

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The two big men are expected to be ready by the start of the season so you don’t have to worry right now. The injury bug bites randomly, however, so the Knicks hope to stay away from it in the future.

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