Thursday, December 2, 2021

Fourth wave in Germany – the number of corona outbreaks in schools is increasing

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Corona just doesn’t end. The number of infections is constantly breaking records. The situation is also worsening in schools. An overview of the current data from the Robert Koch Institute.

Corona outbreaks are currently much more common in schools. That emerges from the weekly report of the Robert Koch Institute, which was published on Thursday evening. “After a brief decline during the autumn break, a very rapid increase is now being observed.” Accordingly, 1,265 outbreaks were last reported within four weeks, it said. However, the past two weeks are not yet assessable. On average, it affects younger students more often than older students.

Currently, the number of school breakouts is “very clearly” above the maximum level of the second wave. At the beginning of November, around three times more outbreaks were reported per week than in the previous year at this time. “With the increased frequency of outbreaks, the easier transferability of the delta variant and also the expanded test activities probably play a role, with infections, including asymptomatic ones, being detected at an early stage.”

In the fourth corona wave, according to the RKI, there are a particularly large number of positive corona proofs on children and adolescents. The seven-day incidence in the week up to last Sunday was more than twice as high in the 5 to 9 year olds (829) and in the 10 to 14 year olds (921) as the average for the population (414). However, students are also tested for Corona particularly frequently.

The RKI initially did not change anything in its general risk assessment, despite the rapidly increasing number of infections. The risk for those who have not been vaccinated or only vaccinated once continues to be classified as “very high”, the risk for those who have been completely vaccinated is therefore “moderate”, but increases with increasing numbers of infections.

Furthermore, the RKI considers the development to be “very worrying”. It is to be feared that “the available intensive care treatment capacities will be exceeded”. It is absolutely necessary “if there are symptoms of a new respiratory disease such as a runny nose, sore throat or cough (regardless of the vaccination status) to stay at home, to contact the family doctor’s practice and have a PCR test carried out,” writes the RKI.

According to RKI figures, those who have not been vaccinated are much more likely to come to hospital with a corona infection than those who are fully vaccinated. The so-called hospitalization incidence (hospital admissions per 100,000 people and week) was recently 5.25 times higher in the age group of 60 and over for unvaccinated than for vaccinated. For 18 to 59 year olds the factor was 6.75, for 12 to 17 year olds it was 6.33.

If a fully vaccinated person falls ill with corona, one speaks of a vaccination breakthrough. In general, the more people are vaccinated, the more breakthroughs there can be.

According to the RKI, 46.4 percent of people aged 60 and over in intensive care units were last fully vaccinated in a four-week period. It should be noted that almost nine out of ten people in this age group are fully vaccinated.

In the 18- to 59-year-olds, 15.3 percent of the intensive care patients were fully vaccinated, the majority of the critically ill in this age group were unvaccinated. Incompletely vaccinated persons were not included in this calculation.

The RKI observes that vaccination effectiveness decreases over time. “This mainly affects the effectiveness against a symptomatic infection and more clearly the age group of 60 and over.” Furthermore, a very good vaccination protection against a serious illness can be assumed for completely vaccinated persons of all age groups.

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