Sunday, June 26, 2022

A shock forecast that makes Tory MPs fear the job center

- Advertisement -
- Advertisement -


The Prime Minister’s colleagues are nervous. Despite Rishi Sunak’s £15bn intervention to reduce soaring energy bills, Conservative MPs in marginal seats fear the threat from challengers Lib Dem and Labour

You can imagine the mood in Downing Street last night as the latest research from YouGov arrived.

Just when Boris Johnson thought he was over the hill, he is dragged back in.

His modeling suggests the Conservatives are currently on course to lose all but three of their 88 key battlegrounds, including the Prime Minister’s seat in Uxbridge and various key Red Wall constituencies, in the next general election.

This extraordinary revelation sent Tory ranks cringe and did little to quell anger at Mr Johnson’s behaviour.

The Prime Minister’s colleagues are nervous. Despite Rishi Sunak’s £15bn intervention to reduce soaring energy bills, Conservative MPs in marginal seats fear the threat from challengers Lib Dem and Labour.

Some say privately that they have already started looking for future employment. A Conservative MP defending a crucial fringe seat tells I: “The opposition parties don’t want the Prime Minister to go anywhere. Ask yourself why that is.”

A few Tory backbenchers file new no-confidence letters every day, although we have no idea how many Sir Graham Brady is sitting on. Fifty-four is required to trigger a vote on the Prime Minister’s future, although Mr Johnson would campaign to win such a challenge. In his letter yesterday, Bob Neill captured the mood among the rebels when he said: “To rebuild confidence requires a change in leadership.”

In truth, the desire for a coup is currently limited 1. Ukraine, 2. the cost of living crisis, 3. the lack of a strong challenger to the Tory leadership, 4. Questions about the future of Keir Starmer and 5. the Privileges Committee’s inquiry into whether Boris Johnson lied to Parliament, which some MPs are using to kick the can back onto the streets.

But dark days lie ahead for the prime minister. This YouGov forecast rocked the troops when mutinies were still raging within the ranks.

Many Tory MPs appear willing to tolerate lying to Parliament and mass law-breaking at 10 Downing Street. But if Boris Johnson becomes a compulsory vote, they will have to choose between a coup or a loss of power.

@oliduff



- Advertisement -
Latest news
- Advertisement -
Related news
- Advertisement -

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here